Us Government Securities Fund Manager Performance Evaluation
| GVTFX Fund | USD 12.11 0.01 0.08% |
The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0026, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Us Government's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Us Government is expected to be smaller as well.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Us Government Securities are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Us Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
...moreGVTFX |
Us Government Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,206 in Us Government Securities on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 5.00 from holding Us Government Securities or generate 0.41% return on investment over 90 days. Us Government Securities is currently producing 0.0068% returns and takes up 0.1544% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than GVTFX, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Us Government Current Valuation
Undervalued
Today
Please note that Us Government's price fluctuation is out of control at this time. Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the fund cannot be evaluated at this time. Us Government Securities latest Real Value cannot be determined due to lack of data. The recent price of Us Government Securities is $12.11. We determine the value of Us Government Securities from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point future time, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Us Government is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of GVTFX Mutual Fund. However, Us Government's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 12.11 | Real 0.0 | Hype 0.0 | Naive 12.1 |
The intrinsic value of Us Government's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Us Government's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Us Government Securities helps investors to forecast how GVTFX mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Us Government more accurately as focusing exclusively on Us Government's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Us Government Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of GVTFX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 12.11 | 90 days | 12.11 | about 38.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Us Government to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 38.09 (This Us Government Securities probability density function shows the probability of GVTFX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Us Government has a beta of 0.0026. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Us Government average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Us Government Securities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Us Government Securities has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Us Government Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Us Government
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Us Government Securities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Us Government Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Us Government is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Us Government's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Us Government Securities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Us Government within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0033 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
Us Government Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Us Government for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Us Government Securities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| Us Government Securities retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments. |
Us Government Fundamentals Growth
GVTFX Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Us Government, and Us Government fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on GVTFX Mutual Fund performance.
| Total Asset | 19.29 B | |||
About Us Government Performance
Evaluating Us Government's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Us Government has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Us Government has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in securities that are guaranteed or sponsored by the U.S. government, its agencies and instrumentalities, including bonds and other debt securities denominated in U.S. dollars, which may be represented by derivatives. American Fds is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.Things to note about Us Government Securities performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Us Government for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Us Government Securities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| Us Government Securities retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments. |
- Analyzing Us Government's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Us Government's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Us Government's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Us Government's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Us Government's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Us Government's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Us Government's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Other Information on Investing in GVTFX Mutual Fund
Us Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether GVTFX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GVTFX with respect to the benefits of owning Us Government security.
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